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Bush
has kept quiet on many national issues. |
AGENDA
Well before George W. Bush entered the presidential race, he had a
formidable early lead. But he's been reluctant to speak out on many national
issues.
His Record
No one knows whether Bush can cut it as a national candidate because he's
never run for national office. He has never sampled the big time except
as a loyalty enforcer on his father's 1988 presidential campaign. For
now, he hopes that his record as Texas governor will serve as his introduction
to voters.
He knows his political record is appealing: the first Texan to win back-to-back
four-year terms, a Republican who appeals to Hispanic voters, who appeals
to female voters. And he hopes his government record, stressing education
reform and cutting taxes, will help solidify his support in the party
while putting him in a good, centrist position against, Al Gore, the likely
Democratic nominee.
Hot-Button
Issues
On
sensitive issues in the GOP, such as abortion and gun control, Bush has
managed to essentially adhere to party orthodoxy. He speaks openly about
his religious faith and opposes abortion. At the same time, he has said
that the party needs to acknowledge differences of opinion on the issue,
and he cast doubt on the potential for a constitutional amendment banning
abortion.
On gun control, Bush differed with the majority of Senate Republicans
when he favored instant background checks for weapons purchased at gun
shows, but eventually GOP senators also came to embrace that view.
Taxes
Bush
got a $1 billion property-tax cut from his legislature in 1997. "It's
an article of faith, in Republican primaries, that you have to be against
taxes," says Austin strategist Bill Miller, who has worked for both parties.
"And when he gets out there and talks up his tax cuts as 'the largest
in state history,' that's a great sound bite."
The facts are more complicated, however. Few Texans saved any money in
1997, because the tax cut largely evaporated when local school districts
had to raise their rates to compensate for lost revenue. And in his original
plan that year, Bush had proposed to create some new business levies.
It didn't happen, but his conservative rivals could use that to sow doubt
about his credentials.
Reggie Bashur, a strategist who helped elect Bush in 1994, says voters
won't care that the '97 tax cut didn't really happen: "What matters is
that getting the tax cut was concrete evidence of his philosophy and approach."
Foreign Policy
What
about foreign policy? No one knows. He has no experience in this area.
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Conventional Wisdom
"Right
now, people are projecting their own views onto him. I think when
Republican activists hear his record, they are going to become even
more comfortable with him," says Bush aide Eric Woolson, a former
communications director for former Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad.
"Look,
the governor is a decent man; he's committed to public service.
He has done a pretty good job as governor in Texas. But nobody knows
what his positions are on national issues," says Leon Panetta, a
former White House chief of staff under President Clinton.
Bush
carries a marquee political name that presents a mixed bag. "Down
the road, people in his party are going to start to hang things
on him like the tax question -- which has resonance with his father
breaking a campaign promise," says Bruce Buchanan, University of
Texas political scientist, alluding to former president's "read
my lips" pledge. "The question is whether he can create enough distance
from his father without seeming to disavow his heritage."
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