Sat, Nov 22, 2008

Business

Days of easy credit coming to an end

By Adam Geller
The Associated Press
Tucson, Arizona | Published: 10.13.2008
An inflatable gorilla beckoned from the roof of Don Brown Chevrolet in St. Louis, servers doled out free bowls of pasta and a salesman urged potential customers to "come on up under the canopy and put your hands on" a new set of wheels.
But sitting across from a salesman in a quiet back room, Adrian Clark could see it would not be nearly that easy. This was the ninth or tenth dealership for Clark, a steamfitter looking for a car to commute to a new job. Every one offered a variation on the discouragement he was getting here: Without $1,000 for a down payment, no loan.
"It's just rough times right now," Clark said. "Rough times."
For Clark, and for a nation of consumers heavily dependent on credit, there are growing signs that those rough times could prove to be more than just a temporary problem, that they could be the beginning of a stark new reality.
Is America's long era of easy credit over?
Experts say that even when the current credit crunch eases, the nation may finally have maxed out its reliance on borrowed cash. Today's crisis is a warning sign, they say, that consumers could be facing long-term adjustments in the way they finance their everyday lives.
"I think we're undergoing a fundamental shift from living on borrowed money to one where living within your means, saving and investing for the future, comes back into vogue," said Greg McBride, senior analyst at Bankrate.com. "This entire credit crunch is a wake-up call to anybody who was attempting to borrow their way to prosperity."
A prolonged period of tighter credit is ahead, experts say.
U.S. consumers will find it much harder to get a credit card, and to carry large balances. Late fees will rise and lines of credit will be reined in. After years of buying homes with interest-only loans, or loans that allowed people to borrow more than the value of the home, substantial payments and down payments will be required. Interest rates are also likely to rise.
Lenders, far more wary of risk, have tightened the standards they use to judge potential borrowers. Regulators will be looking over their shoulders.
The changes cap three decades in which U.S. consumers — along with businesses and government — have run up ever-increasing debt. Americans became accustomed to financing purchases large and small with plentiful credit cards, easily approved loans for cars and the latest conveniences, and by siphoning the equity in their homes.
Lenders did far more than just make credit plentiful. They aggressively marketed it as a necessity, a way for smart consumers to leverage themselves into a better lifestyle.
The financial meltdown has made clear the role an increasingly global economy played in facilitating U.S. consumers' borrowing.
The expansion of credit has, in many ways, been a good thing. It has allowed many more people to buy homes.
At a time when household incomes have stagnated, borrowing has made it possible for many people to afford purchases and cover short-term expenses they might otherwise have had to delay or abandon.
The tightening of credit will force American families to cut their spending, mindful of their current paychecks instead of borrowing against future ones, said Frank Badillo, senior economist with TNS Retail Forward, a consulting and market research firm in Columbus, Ohio.
"We're going to see some fundamental changes in consumer behavior," he said.