Mon, Dec 01, 2008
Wild animals, such as this moose and offspring in Alaska, may well find their ecosystems will no longer exist because of climate change.
Tom Uhlenbrock / St. Louis Post-Dispatch 2007

Nation

Climate shift raises question: Can all species be saved?

McClatchy Newspapers
Tucson, Arizona | Published: 07.06.2008
BOISE, Idaho — The Defenders of Wildlife, like many environmental groups, is dedicated to the philosophy of the late biologist Aldo Leopold — that "saving all the parts" of the world's ecosystems is the foundation of conservation.
"To keep every cog and wheel is the first precaution of intelligent tinkering," Leopold wrote in his classic 1940s essay "Round River." Those words became part of the foundation of the modern environmental movement.
So when Defenders climate scientist Jean Brennan and others suggest that it may be time to change the Endangered Species Act to allow some species to go extinct, it underscores the crisis they say the West and the world in general face from climate change.
The nation's top scientists say climate warming is unequivocal, and much of it is likely due to human causes — and that has forced corporations, investors and government officials to reconsider long-held views.
Now the emerging and fast-moving realities of climate change are forcing wildlife advocates and environmentalist to rethink their philosophies as well.
Do the benefits of nuclear energy outweigh the risks? Will drawn-out court battles on governmental decisions cause more environmental harm than they do good? And the question that tears at the center of Leopold's doctrine: Can all species be saved?
"If you think too much about it, it sends you into despair," said Pat Parenteau, an environmental law professor at the University of Vermont.
But federal and state scientists and managers say they have no choice but to start, and they gathered in Boise last month at the first meeting of federal officials to look ahead at what policies and strategies need to be changed.
Twenty percent to 40 percent of all known species could go extinct, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service biologist and endangered species recovery expert Jeff Burgett said. And scientists say that even if greenhouse gases are dramatically reduced, it will take more than 100 years to dissipate the high levels of carbon dioxide already in the atmosphere.
The dire news was a wake-up call for agency biologists, regional managers and others who hardly were allowed even to discuss climate change over the last 7 1/2 years of the Bush administration.
Brennan, Parenteau and most wildlife advocates aren't ready to give up on most species. But they no longer are looking to return ecosystems to a former pristine state.
Climate change will eliminate many ecosystems around the world and create new ones that no longer can sustain the creatures and plants there now, Brennan said.
Many ecosystems that will exist in 2100 exist nowhere on Earth today, she said.
"Our grandchildren are going to grow up in a world that's unrecognizable today," said Dale Goble, a University of Idaho law professor and co-author of the book "The Endangered Species Act at Thirty."
The idea that we can address the threats that species face and bring them back to recovery is the core concept that underlies the Endangered Species Act, Goble said. But "recovery" — as the law requires — is not likely to be an option.
At least 80 percent of endangered species and even many game species that survive will need special, individual manage-ment into perpetuity, Goble said.